Articles by Brian Kozel

For Whom the Earnings Bell Tolls

By |2022-10-14T16:46:04-07:00September 30th, 2022|

The question facing investors in the near term is how to interpret the interconnectedness of the broad economy when presented with quarterly earnings data from a single company.

Precarious Expectations

By |2022-09-30T14:16:48-07:00September 16th, 2022|

Investors often expect the status quo to continue indefinitely but markets can change course rapidly. There are measurable benefits to balancing historically-rooted optimism and a timeframe that extends beyond the present moment.

A Recession by Any Other Name

By |2022-08-19T14:18:53-07:00August 5th, 2022|

Although there’s confusion around the definition of a recession, it’s helpful to remember that periods of economic slowdown – whether they are officially deemed a recession or not – are a normal part of the economic cycle.

Double-Edged Dollar

By |2022-08-05T13:23:52-07:00July 22nd, 2022|

Similar to other assets, currency markets have cycles and are sensitive to the near and intermediate-term outlook for the global economy. As the US dollar gains strength on global markets the results of the appreciating currency remain complex.

The Tedious Middle

By |2022-07-15T14:02:24-07:00July 1st, 2022|

Q2 2022 Market Commentary
Reflecting on past periods of economic and political turbulence won’t provide a precise roadmap for the current moment, but it can provide a comforting reminder about the longer arc of progress.

Change Under the Surface

By |2022-07-01T09:46:05-07:00June 3rd, 2022|

Being a long-term investor means tolerating periods of uncertainty, and knowing that they will also lay the foundation for the growth that will follow.

The Pace of Change

By |2022-05-13T15:39:23-07:00May 6th, 2022|

The current pace of change has disoriented investors and put downward pressure on prices and this volatility may not subside in the short-term.

A Lot Can Change in a Quarter

By |2022-06-30T11:42:52-07:00April 1st, 2022|

Q1 2022 Market Commentary
We expect commodity prices to remain elevated in the near term and any recovery in stock and bond prices to be tempered while investors reevaluate growth expectations in a less interconnected world.

Patience Amidst Inflation

By |2022-03-25T14:34:12-07:00March 18th, 2022|

Inflationary pressures on consumers are likely to persist in the near term. As we look past moments of heightened market volatility, remaining invested and diversified has provided the most resilient outcomes for our clients.

Geopolitical Gyrations

By |2022-03-04T15:56:56-08:00February 18th, 2022|

Even though risks feel elevated in current headlines, the reality is that there are always risks, and opportunities, for financial markets. We focus on taking the appropriate amount of risk based on your situation, not based on market unknowns.

Facebook’s Flop

By |2022-02-18T14:43:44-08:00February 4th, 2022|

Meta is one of the largest companies globally and the decline had a direct impact on major stock market indices. This changing landscape for Meta has broader lessons about the lifecycle of investments in innovative companies.

The Changing Seasons

By |2022-06-30T11:41:54-07:00January 7th, 2022|

Q4 2021 Market Commentary
January brings the annual tradition of envisioning the year ahead. In financial markets, this means attempting to predict what can not be controlled.

A Market Christmas Carol

By |2022-01-14T15:45:49-08:00December 17th, 2021|

Visited by three spirits representing the arc of his past, present, and future, Scrooge was given the gift of perspective. It is a tale that holds valuable lessons for investors.

Familiar Unknowns

By |2021-12-17T14:25:01-08:00December 3rd, 2021|

While the emergence of the Omicron variant is troubling as a public health issue, it is familiar territory for the economy. As we face new variants and risks, we believe a long-term strategy will continue to serve our clients well.

Noisy Normalization

By |2021-10-15T15:27:57-07:00October 1st, 2021|

Q3 2021 Market Commentary
Investor sentiment is slowly shifting from the optimism of early-2021 when investors believed ‘when this pandemic is over, things will be better,’ to a more pragmatic outlook that acknowledges the pandemic is not over and may linger.