Brian Kozel

About Brian Kozel

Brian Kozel, CFP® is Partner and Lead Advisor at North Berkeley Wealth Management.

History as Context

By |2021-05-10T13:51:37-07:00May 7th, 2021|

Tax rates and mortgage rates are both on the rise. For some investors, these shifts may indicate negative trends for market prices and economic growth. If we zoom out for perspective, history tells us that these increases may not be such a bad thing.

Pinch Points

By |2021-05-07T13:42:40-07:00April 30th, 2021|

Many industries have been unprepared for rapid surges in demand caused by the pandemic. Notably, the lumber and microprocessor industries find themselves rationing scarce quantities through higher prices.

A Dash of Perspective

By |2021-05-07T13:43:12-07:00April 23rd, 2021|

One method of gaining perspective when faced with overwhelming data is to zoom out and understand how recent activity fits into a larger pattern. By doing this, we can gain a better understanding of the ‘relative progress’ during the pandemic versus the ‘absolute progress’ over a longer timeframe.

Money, Cryptocurrency, and the Value of Trust

By |2021-04-30T15:21:48-07:00April 16th, 2021|

Cryptocurrency is an evolution of money that currently hinges on its ability to solidify widespread trust in its functionality as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Trading platforms like Coinbase may add legitimacy and security to ownership of cryptocurrency.

Bottleneck at the Canal

By |2021-03-31T11:07:23-07:00March 26th, 2021|

Traffic on the Suez Canal is fully halted in both directions after the Ever Given became lodged in the embankment. Fascinating as it is, the bottleneck and the slowdown that it’s caused will ultimately be a short-term detour in the long-term trajectory of global trade.

When Bad News is Good News

By |2021-03-11T15:35:11-08:00March 5th, 2021|

Rising interest rates are a natural process in the re-opening of the economy and show that the market relationship between stocks and bonds is normalizing.

A Song of Ice and Fire

By |2021-02-26T15:04:23-08:00February 19th, 2021|

Complex systems like energy grids or financial markets aren’t perfect, but they are designed to be resilient. When catastrophes happen, resiliency matters more than perfection.

Unintended Opportunities

By |2021-02-26T15:05:10-08:00February 12th, 2021|

Covid-19 could shift from a pandemic disease to an endemic one. Businesses understand this shift and new and potentially lucrative Covid-19 business lines are quickly emerging.

Go, Go, GameStop?

By |2021-02-10T15:49:23-08:00January 29th, 2021|

The market gyrations caused by the bizarre and meteoric rise of GameStop stock illustrates the sharp contrast between short-term trading and long-term investing.

The Arc of Change

By |2021-02-05T17:27:14-08:00January 22nd, 2021|

The arc of change bends towards justice but it isn't guaranteed. It requires hard work and tireless effort stretching across generations.

Points of Consistency

By |2021-04-12T11:08:23-07:00January 15th, 2021|

Q4 2020 Market Commentary
As we enter 2021, we expect to encounter potholes as well as progress, with an uneven path to global economic recovery over at least another year or two.

An Orange Sky, and a Green Future – Part II

By |2021-01-22T16:23:25-08:00January 8th, 2021|

Vaccine rollout and increased spending on green infrastructure may make 2021 a much more positive year economically than 2020. Whether or not stock prices have further room to rise in the near term, is yet to be determined.

Progress, Not Perfection

By |2020-12-31T09:51:24-08:00December 31st, 2020|

2020 brought dramatic change to our daily lives and prompted adaptation in many industries. Although 2021 will probably not be a smooth ride, progress will be the main theme.

The Paradox of Partial Information

By |2020-12-18T15:28:04-08:00December 11th, 2020|

All decision-making, in investing and in life, is made with partial knowledge. It is important to find the right balance of potential and security so that we can have peace of mind in the moment.

Necessity – The Mother of Invention

By |2020-12-11T15:15:02-08:00November 20th, 2020|

The vaccine announcements provide hope for the resumption of robust economic activity, but the market and the country will need to navigate a hard winter before the distribution process is functionally underway.

The Next Phase

By |2020-12-04T17:03:04-08:00November 13th, 2020|

We believe a new phase of market growth will result from adaptation as we enter a new economic landscape.